Are Prediction Markets Legal in Maryland? (July 2026)

Map of US prediction market legality by state, ChipReign guide to Kalshi and Polymarket

Last updated: July 2026. Written and checked by the ChipReign editorial team.

Kalshi’s status in Maryland is contested. As of July 2026, Maryland is one of the states challenging these markets, so the picture is restricted. Kalshi and Polymarket are regulated federally by the CFTC, but Maryland disputes that, and access can change fast. Here is exactly where it stands.

Not legal advice. This page is general information only, and prediction market law is changing month to month. Always check an operator’s own state list before signing up, and speak to a qualified lawyer about your situation.

Is Kalshi or Polymarket legal in Maryland?

Current status: Restricted. A federal judge declined to shield Kalshi from Maryland’s enforcement, one of Kalshi’s few court losses, so its position here is genuinely restricted.

Here is how it breaks down by platform. A federal judge declined to shield Kalshi from Maryland’s enforcement, so its position here is genuinely contested. Check the platform directly before assuming access. Polymarket’s US arm does not currently operate in Maryland, taking the cautious route in a contested state.

Which platform works best in Maryland?

For most people in Maryland the practical answer is Kalshi, since Polymarket’s US arm is not currently operating here. Kalshi takes US dollars from a bank or card, needs no crypto, and leads on US politics, the economy and weather. Keep an eye on Polymarket in case it opens the state later. Compare them in full in our Kalshi vs Polymarket guide.

Prediction markets vs betting in Maryland

 Prediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket)Traditional sports betting
RegulatorCFTC (federal)Maryland gaming regulator (state)
What it isA yes-or-no event contract on an exchangeA wager against a licensed bookmaker
Legal basisFederal derivatives lawState gambling law
Sports availableFederally allowed, state disputes itOnly if the state has legalised it
How gains are taxedAs income or capital, report your ownAs gambling winnings

Why prediction markets are federally regulated

The whole system rests on one idea. Kalshi and Polymarket’s US arm are designated contract markets, or DCMs, the same class of CFTC-licensed exchange as the big futures markets. Under the Commodity Exchange Act, event contracts are treated as swaps, a type of derivative, and the CFTC has exclusive say over derivatives. That is why the platforms argue a Maryland gaming regulator cannot ban them, even when a contract is about a game. For the full mechanism, see our CFTC regulation explainer.

Here is how a contract actually works. Each one trades between 0 and 100 cents, and that price is the market’s odds on the outcome. If the event happens, a yes share pays a full dollar; if it does not, it pays nothing. You trade against other people on an exchange rather than against a bookmaker, which is the structural reason regulators treat it as a financial market and not a bet.

Your money and protections in Maryland

Because the regulated platforms answer to the CFTC, they carry real obligations that protect you in Maryland. Customer money is held in segregated accounts, kept apart from the company’s own funds, and you complete full identity and anti-money-laundering checks to open an account, the same as at a brokerage. What regulation does not do is guarantee your trade or insure your balance. Segregated is not the same as FDIC-insured, and if you lose a trade the money is gone. In short, the oversight makes the venue trustworthy, not the bet smart. We go deeper in are prediction markets safe.

Is it gambling in Maryland?

Legally, no. In Maryland as everywhere else, a federally regulated event contract is a financial instrument, not a bet placed with a bookmaker. That said, buying a yes share on your team to win can feel exactly like a wager, and that honest tension is the heart of the debate. We lay out both sides in are prediction markets gambling.

What you can trade from Maryland

From Maryland you can trade the full menu of event contracts: politics and elections, the economy and Fed rate decisions, crypto prices and sports.

How to start in Maryland

  1. Check the platform still serves Maryland from your location, especially for sports.
  2. Confirm you are 18 or older and have ID ready for the identity checks.
  3. Open an account on Kalshi (US dollars) or Polymarket (a USDC crypto wallet).
  4. Fund it, start small, and only stake money you can afford to lose.

Our full walkthrough is in how to start trading prediction markets, and you can compare the venues in our Kalshi review and Polymarket review.

The legal fight in Maryland: timeline

  • The Maryland Lottery and Gaming Control Agency issued a cease-and-desist.
  • August 1, 2025: a federal judge denied Kalshi’s request to block the state, finding state gaming authority can sit alongside CFTC regulation.

What could change

Two national moves could reset the map. The CFTC proposed a rule on June 10, 2026 to spell out which event contracts are allowed, with public comments due around July 27, 2026. And the split between federal appeals courts, one siding with Kalshi and another leaning toward the states, looks headed for the Supreme Court. Either could change Maryland’s status, so we date this page and refresh it as things move. Track the whole country on our state-by-state legality guide.

Maryland prediction market FAQ

Is Kalshi legal in Maryland?

A federal judge declined to shield Kalshi from Maryland’s enforcement, so its position here is genuinely contested. Check the platform directly before assuming access. The wider federal-versus-state question is not fully settled, so confirm on Kalshi when you sign up.

Is Polymarket legal in Maryland?

Polymarket’s US arm does not currently operate in Maryland, taking the cautious route in a contested state. Availability can change as the legal picture shifts, so check the app for your location before funding an account.

Are prediction markets gambling in Maryland?

Federally they are treated as financial contracts, not gambling, which is the basis for CFTC regulation. In practice a sports contract feels like a bet. We unpack that in our guide to whether prediction markets are gambling.

Do you have to be 18 or 21 to use prediction markets in Maryland?

The regulated US platforms set 18 as the minimum age, and you complete full identity checks to open an account. Where local law sets a higher bar, follow that.

Is Kalshi the same as a sportsbook in Maryland?

No. A sportsbook is licensed by the state and sets the odds as your counterparty. Kalshi is a federally regulated exchange where you trade a yes-or-no contract against other people. See our prediction markets vs sportsbooks guide.

How are prediction market winnings taxed in Maryland?

Net gains from event contracts are generally taxable as income at the federal level, and Maryland taxes follow your normal state rules. The platforms may issue tax forms, but you are responsible for reporting. This is general information, not tax advice, so check with a tax professional.

Do I need a crypto wallet to use prediction markets in Maryland?

It depends on the platform. Kalshi funds in US dollars from a bank or card, with no crypto needed. Polymarket runs on USDC, so you fund it from a crypto wallet. If you already hold USDC for a crypto casino, the same wallet works.

Could the rules change in Maryland?

Yes, and quickly. Maryland is one of the states actively fighting these markets, and a ruling either way can shift access within weeks. Treat this page as the picture as of July 2026 and check the platform before you trade.

Responsible play. Prediction markets are real-money risk, for adults only, 18 and over, or 21 and over where local law requires. If it stops being fun or you are chasing losses, step away. In the US call or text the National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-MY-RESET. This page is general information, not legal or financial advice.

Prediction markets in neighbouring states

The rules change at the state line, so it is worth checking nearby. See where prediction markets stand in Delaware, Pennsylvania, Virginia and West Virginia. For the full picture, use our state-by-state legality guide.